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Post by theosarch on Nov 23, 2013 21:36:36 GMT -5
In trying not to be emotional after a horrendous season, I decided to research the history of our coaches statistically. I have always been told the 4 most important people on a college football coaching staff are: 1) Head Coach; 2) Offensive Coordinator; 3) Defensive Coordinator; 4) Head Strength Coach. I wanted to look at their coaching careers and see what their career records were in the same capacities they currently work in at Elon. After all, your success as a coach ultimately comes down to wins and losses. I found some interesting results... you can draw your own conclusions if these are the people you want to lead us into the CAA next season:
Jason Swepson - Career Record as a Head Coach (only head job is at Elon) 2011: 5-6 @elon 2012: 3-8 @elon 2013: 2-10 @elon Career Record: 10-24 (Winning Percentage of .294) Notes: 0 winning seasons in 3 years; team has had a worse record each season
Chris Pincince - Career Record as an Offensive Coordinator 2006: 7-4 @holy Cross 2007: 7-4 @holy Cross 2008: 3-9 @rhode Island 2009: 1-10 @rhode Island 2010: 5-6 @rhode Island 2011: 5-6 @elon 2012: 3-8 @elon 2013: 2-10 @elon Career Record: 33-57 (Winning Percentage of .366) Notes: 2 winning seasons in 8 years; has had 6 straight losing seasons as on OC
Brad Sherrod - Career as a Defensive Coordinator 2013: 2-10 @elon Career Record: 2-10 (Winning Percentage of .166) Notes: This year was his first season as a defensive coordinator
Ted Perlak - Career as a Head Football Strength & Conditioning Coach 2004: 2-8 @iona 2005: 3-7 @iona 2006 & 2007: N/A (was an assistant strength coach at Fordham not in charge of Football) 2008: 5-6 @fordham 2009: 5-6 @fordham 2010: 5-6 @fordham 2011: 1-10 @fordham 2012: 6-5 @fordham 2013: 2-10 @elon Career Record: 29-58 (Winning Percentage of.333) Notes: 1 Winning Season in 8 years; Elon was outscored in the 2nd half 80-179 this season while being even in first half scoring (194-200)
These records are not opinions... they are facts. But I am interested in hearing the rest of the board members opinions here. Is this the coaching staff we want to lead us into the CAA next season?
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Post by whoanellie on Nov 24, 2013 0:56:47 GMT -5
well played
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Post by Deleted on Nov 24, 2013 5:19:47 GMT -5
I have confidence in Perlack. I think Sherrod could be good, despite the stats. I also think coach Brown has done a very good job with special teams. Mattes has done an exceptional job. I've heard speculation that Mattes has had other, better offers & will move on next year. I sincerely hope that regardless of what happens next season, Perlack and Brown will remain here.
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Post by elon1985 on Nov 24, 2013 10:49:44 GMT -5
Stats can be a bit misleading; the coaches records at the other scores need to be qualified given the resources at the various schools. URI, for example, plays in the toughest FCS conference but doesn't fully fund scholarships. Is it fair to evaluate a coach with that factor.
To me, the most obvious thing one can take from those stats is that during the last three seasons under Swepson the record has steadily worsened. This is either poor recruiting or poor coaching. Well, from what I've seen from Elon games this season, we were up at halftime (or close) in most games, but managed to lose the second half. I can think of at least four games in which scoring in the second half, more than 1 FG, would have won the game. Players or coaching? To me, this falls firmly on coaching.
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Post by theosarch on Nov 24, 2013 12:10:47 GMT -5
Stats can be a bit misleading; the coaches records at the other scores need to be qualified given the resources at the various schools. URI, for example, plays in the toughest FCS conference but doesn't fully fund scholarships. Is it fair to evaluate a coach with that factor. I agree with what your saying in one sense; URI was bad before Pincince got there, bad when he was there, and bad when he left. Elon though just had 4 straight winning seasons before Swepson took over and has gotten progressively worse each season under him. Fordham won their conference and went to the playoffs in 2007 the year before Perlack took over there, and this year after he leaves and comes to us they are 11-1 and going to the playoffs again. Is that just bad luck? So your argument doesn't hold up with those 2 guys. That being said, I agree with fightinchristian that Sherrod could be good despite the stats. It was his first year and I don't know why but I sense like we would see improvement next season on the D. I am also even somewhat willing to give Perlack a pass for this season because he has been here less than a year and I have heard mostly positive things about him, but the team definitely got worn down physically in the 2nd half of games this season and he will have a lot of pressure on him to correct that next year. Brown was here before Swepson, but I am not sold on him. Mattes is in my opinion the best coach on this staff and I have also heard we will likely lose him to a better opportunity next year. I would hope that IF Blank does hire a new head coach this year, that he would be allowed to clear house as he sees fit and bring in all his own new people.
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Post by oldfan on Nov 24, 2013 12:30:39 GMT -5
Stats can be a bit misleading; the coaches records at the other scores need to be qualified given the resources at the various schools. URI, for example, plays in the toughest FCS conference but doesn't fully fund scholarships. Is it fair to evaluate a coach with that factor. I agree with what your saying in one sense; URI was bad before Pincince got there, bad when he was there, and bad when he left. Elon though just had 4 straight winning seasons before Swepson took over and has gotten progressively worse each season under him. Fordham won their conference and went to the playoffs in 2007 the year before Perlack took over there, and this year after he leaves and comes to us they are 11-1 and going to the playoffs again. Is that just bad luck? So your argument doesn't hold up with those 2 guys. That being said, I agree with fightinchristian that Sherrod could be good despite the stats. It was his first year and I don't know why but I sense like we would see improvement next season on the D. I am also even somewhat willing to give Perlack a pass for this season because he has been here less than a year and I have heard mostly positive things about him, but the team definitely got worn down physically in the 2nd half of games this season and he will have a lot of pressure on him to correct that next year. Brown was here before Swepson, but I am not sold on him. Mattes is in my opinion the best coach on this staff and I have also heard we will likely lose him to a better opportunity next year. I would hope that IF Blank does hire a new head coach this year, that he would be allowed to clear house as he sees fit and bring in all his own new people. Swepson was allowed to bring in his own people. Problem is, he didn't have any to bring. He was totally unprepared for assuming the HC job. That's one of the problems you (as a team) inherit with a poor, inexperienced, non head coach hire. He didn't have a go to list of quality coaches to hire on day one. If I recall correctly he kept most of the asst. coaches that did not move on with Lembo. Then he had to scramble to find the remaining staff, which took him a while. Most of these final hires were out of a job for one reason or another. Quite possibly, he didn't even know them beforehand. Most current or aspiring HC's have a list of candidates ready for when the time comes. He was probably more surprised than anyone when he was hired.
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Post by theosarch on Nov 29, 2013 23:27:02 GMT -5
Agreed. We definitely need someone with either head coaching experience, or enough experience as a coordinator at the FCS level that he can attract and bring in his own people.
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