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Post by epx on Oct 31, 2022 13:29:00 GMT -5
Below are listed the current standings of the CAA teams with 3 losses or fewer along with what Massey says the end of the season looks like. Team * W-L * End of season W-L (according to Massey) W&M * 7-1 * 9-2 UofR * 6-2 * 9-2 UofD * 6-2 * 7-4 UNH * 6-2 * 8-3 Elon * 6-3 * 8-3 Nova * 5-3 * 7-4 URI * 5-3 * 7-4 Where I question Massey is I think UD will beat Nova and I think URI will beat UNH. If both of these happen there will be two at 9-2 and three at 8-3. I'm not sure the committee likes 5 CAA teams in. The URI v UNH doesn't really matter that just takes the loser out & puts the winner in. So, let's all hope I am wrong and Massey is right. Massey CAA Ratings: masseyratings.com/cf2022/colonial/ratings |
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Post by fearthephoenix on Oct 31, 2022 19:53:20 GMT -5
We would be 6-2 in the CAA, right?
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Post by epx on Oct 31, 2022 20:55:08 GMT -5
Yes. Which means Richmond would be the AQ due to head to head win over UNH although their conference w-l would be the same. We would be in a 2 way tie for 3rd with W&M. Interesting question is who would be the higher seed between us and W&M. We have the head to head but they have the better overall record and a FBS win.
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Post by epx on Oct 31, 2022 21:15:32 GMT -5
The last column is the end of regular season conference record according to Massey.
W&M * 7-1 * 9-2 * 6-2
UofR * 6-2 * 9-2 * 7-1
UofD * 6-2 * 7-4 * 4-4
UNH * 6-2 * 8-3 * 7-1
Elon * 6-3 * 8-3 * 6-2
Nova * 5-3 * 7-4 * 5-3
URI * 5-3 * 7-4 * 5-3
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Post by elonlax01 on Oct 31, 2022 21:50:24 GMT -5
Elon would be in the best situation if UNH and W&M win out.
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Post by epx on Nov 5, 2022 18:33:04 GMT -5
Updated standings & projections (according to Massey)
Team * W-L * End of season W-L (according to Massey) * End of season conf W-L (according to Massey)
W&M * 8-1 * 9-2 * 6-2
UofR * 7-2 * 9-2 * 7-1
UofD * 7-2 * 7-4 * 4-4
Elon * 7*3 * 8-3 * 6-2
UNH * 6-3 * 8-3 * 7-1
URI * 6-3 * 7-4 * 5-3
*Nova * 5-4 * 6-5 * 4-4*
*If all else remains the same for Villanova after the non projected loss to Towson 11/5*
So Nova appears to be out of the running for a playoff spot.
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Post by epx on Nov 10, 2022 21:09:23 GMT -5
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phawkes
New Member
Posts: 116
Fan Of: Elon Phoenix
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Post by phawkes on Nov 11, 2022 11:39:44 GMT -5
Without a James Madison in the conference, the CAA no longer has a consistently dominant team. The league's internal competitiveness means we have a number of good teams, but also means it's tough to have an undefeated or 1-loss team. The conference could wind up with as many as five 2-loss-in-conference teams and no 1-loss-overall team. I do disagree with Weber State and UIW seeded instead of W&M in the Hero Sports prediction. If the Tribe wins out, they may end up as one of the seeds.
We have to beat the Pirates tomorrow to have any chance of making the play-offs.
Go, Phoenix!
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Post by epx on Nov 13, 2022 9:20:38 GMT -5
If W&M beats UR, which I'm betting on them to do, they absolutely deserve a seed. One loss to a top 25 FCS team and a FBS win, (I know it was Charlotte, but still), and in the CAA? Yeah, they definitely deserve a seed.
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Post by epx on Nov 13, 2022 9:56:28 GMT -5
Updated standings & projections, (Massey)
Team * W-L * End of season W-L (according to Massey) * End of season conf W-L (according to Massey)
W&M * 9-1 * 9-2 * 6-2
UofR * 8-2 * 9-2 * 7-1
Elon * 8-3 * 8-3 * 6-2
UNH * 7-3 * 8-3 * 7-1
UofD * 7-3 * 8-3 * 5-3
*URI * 6-4 * 7-4 * 5-3* likely out of playoff picture
For the "record", I disagree with Massey in that I think W&M beats UR next weekend. So we will end up 3rd in the CAA by virtue of the HH win over UR.
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Post by epx on Nov 13, 2022 10:08:15 GMT -5
Updated standings & projections, (Massey) Team * W-L * End of season W-L (according to Massey) * End of season conf W-L (according to Massey) W&M * 9-1 * 9-2 * 6-2 UofR * 8-2 * 9-2 * 7-1 Elon * 8-3 * 8-3 * 6-2 UNH * 7-3 * 8-3 * 7-1 UofD * 7-3 * 8-3 * 5-3 *URI * 6-4 * 7-4 * 5-3* likely out of playoff picture For the "record", I disagree with Massey in that I think W&M beats UR next weekend. So we will end up 3rd in the CAA by virtue of the HH win over UR. Even if UD beats Nova next weekend, they may be out of playoff contention due to 3 FCS losses. |
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Post by topher99 on Nov 13, 2022 10:10:25 GMT -5
It'll be tight, but an 8-3 UD with an FBS win over Navy has a much stronger case than many other bubble teams.
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Post by fearthephoenix on Nov 13, 2022 11:29:43 GMT -5
It'll be tight, but an 8-3 UD with an FBS win over Navy has a much stronger case than many other bubble teams. I do not see an 8 win CAA team not making the playoffs. Top to bottom, easily one of the top two conferences in the FCS. |
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Post by epx on Nov 15, 2022 14:01:36 GMT -5
This FCS playoff prediction is from HERO. There are lots of these predictions out there, done by various pundits. Some are just silly, and obviously there are games left to play, but I like where this one has us. Assuming we get by A&T, I like our chances against Samford. However A&T and Samford have significant games against significant opponents in Gardner-Webb and Mercer. So this is just one possibility: herosports.com/fcs-football-2022-playoff-predictions-8-bzbz/ |
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